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Russia is apparently eager to claim victory in Ukraine as an important day approaches for the country, however, an expert warns of the “disastrous consequences” of Russian President Vladimir Putin setting up a an “artificial timetable” as the Kremlin is expected to step up its invasion.
WH SAYS THEY KNOW WHAT TO EXPECT IN UKRAINE BASED ON PUTIN’S CHOICE OF NEW GENERAL
Describing a retreat in which Putin is “gradually ending the active combat phase of the conflict” in order to achieve his goal and finish what he started, Rebekah Koffler, a former US Defense Intelligence Agency officer and author of “Putin’s Playbook: Russia’s Secret Plan to Defeat America,” Putin told Fox News Digital that Putin’s plan to insert politics into his war on Ukraine and set a timeline for completion will likely yield a negative result.
May 9, the day Russia celebrates victory over Germany in World War II, is a date Putin would feel pressure to achieve some kind of victory in Ukraine.
“Putin introduced an artificial timetable to end his war against Ukraine by May 9, a hugely important holiday in Russia, culturally – the victory of the Soviet army over Nazi Germany,” Koffler said. . “This year marks the 77th anniversary of the defeat of German forces in World War II. The insertion of politics into military strategy is always fraught with disastrous consequences.”
Providing an example, the former intelligence officer said President Biden “learned it the hard way when he rushed US forces” to withdraw from Afghanistan in an effort to “claim victory. before the anniversary of the September 11 terrorist attacks on our homeland”.
Koffler insisted that Putin’s decision to appoint General Alexander Dvornikov as the new commander to lead operations in Ukraine shifts Russia’s military strategy from “siege warfare to scorched earth”.
Differentiating between the two tactics, Koffler said siege warfare “focuses on [the] blockades of cities and brutal tactics against civilians with the aim of attrition and coercing the opposing side to accept peace on terms favorable to Russia in order to end the suffering of civilians. »
The scorched earth, Koffler noted, is “associated with the withdrawal of armed forces”. The main objective of the scorched earth tactic is to destroy “the adversary’s primary military, command and control targets and vital infrastructure that are essential to its functioning and survival”, she said. declared.
The retreating force, she warned, will destroy anything that can be destroyed, including food, supplies, fuel and transport.
Regarding Dvornikov, Koffler said the new general overseeing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has “extensive experience in the bloody war in Syria” and is “known for his brutal tactics in Aleppo.”
Dvornikov rose to prominence as the leader of the Russian forces that Moscow deployed to Syria in 2015 to bolster President Bashar Assad’s regime amid the country’s devastating civil war.
“Putin wants Dvornikov to make the last push and end the conflict in Ukraine, at least in its ‘hot’ phase, before turning it into a ‘frozen’ conflict,” Koffler said. “Putin wants Dvornikov to leave a deep psychological scar on the Ukrainian population to deter other post-Soviet states that might consider joining the Western camp.”
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“The risk of an uncontrollable escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is at its highest on this 45th day of Putin’s war against Ukraine,” she added. Furthermore, Koffler said the Kremlin is “predisposed to the worst-case mental framework” and “prepared to misinterpret Polish-American military exercises – which are defensive in nature – as offensive and perhaps a precursor to the United States.” ./NATO’s intervention in the conflict as active combatants on behalf of Ukraine.”
“This exercise, combined with the ‘war criminal and regime change’ narrative of American and Western leaders, including former NATO Deputy Chief Sir Richard Shirreff’s recent call that ‘the Alliance must be ready for war with Russia, “scares Putin”. Koffler said, “That’s one of the reasons he’s willing to retreat, but he’ll wreak havoc doing it.”
Fox News’ Stephen Sorace and Andrew Mark Miller contributed to this article.